Web3Tianlu

Cryptocurrency Breakfast | April 9
Macro Geopolitics
1. The US-Iran ceasefire agreement is essentially defunct; Iran is collecting tolls for the Strait of Hormuz using cryptocurrency (Bitcoin), attempting to maintain control over the waterway during the two-week ceasefire period. The Iranian speaker directly stated that three items of the "Ten-Point Plan" have been violated; ceasefire and negotiations are now meaningless. Trump proposed joint operation of the strait with Iran and banned uranium enrichment.
2. The Federal Reserve March meeting minutes released hawkish signals, with more officia

Negotiations have broken down, and the US delegation has already set off to return home.
This result may look unexpected, but in fact it’s perfectly in line with reason. The market is always like this—once it sees confirmation of a ceasefire and progress in the talks, it instinctively treats it as a bullish signal and chases longs, yet it overlooks a deadly risk: once the talks fall apart, the piled-up bearish sentiment will be released all at once, and the selloff speed will be far more ruthless than the upside.
Price action is never about moving with the surface-level news; it’s about th

The news is in—sticking to the bearish Friday plan
Let the bullets keep flying for a while
$BTC
#Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三

On the eve of the rate cut cycle, the bullish logic for gold is reinforcing itself.
First layer: Rate restructuring — expectations for U.S. dollar asset yields are declining, forcing funds to spill over and seek alternative safe-haven assets.
Second layer: Geopolitical premium — normalized uncertainty is prompting global capital to diversify allocations, making gold's "non-sovereign credit" attribute a necessity.
Third layer: Institutional endorsement — ANZ Bank sees sustained central bank gold purchases of 850 tons by 2026, with Goldman Sachs targeting a $5,400 price level.
Conclusion

This round of CPI, loud thunder but little rain.
The real winners are gold and silver; the crypto world is just a fish caught in the pond affected.
The market is holding its breath to digest, and once this breath is out, what should fall will still fall.
Don't get itchy; the feast for the bears hasn't started yet.
Let the bullets fly a little longer; good positions are all about waiting for the right moment.
$BTC
#Gate上线Pre-IPOs

Friday Night Thoughts | Just the Key Points
Tonight at 8:30 PM CPI, there will be volatility, but don't overthink it.
Three scenarios:
Above expectations → Bearish, downward pressure
In line with expectations → Volatile but slightly weak
Below expectations → Short-term bullish
But CPI is just intraday disturbance; the real factor determining the direction is whether the Middle East situation eases.
The strategy is one sentence: don't bet on data, follow the rhythm.
$BTC
#Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三

Evening Trading Ideas
Intraday Review
Volatility has noticeably narrowed, and the oscillation range is smaller than expected; market sentiment is on the cautious side. In the afternoon, the short position at the current price around 72200 successfully exited and locked in nearly a thousand points of profit. In this kind of market, being able to catch the rhythm is what determines returns.
Current Setup
The price rebounded to around 71700 and is consolidating with a range-bound movement; bulls and bears are still in a standoff, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, resista

Short positions can continue to be held
Black Friday remains bearish, short positions can continue to be held
Black Friday remains bearish
$BTC
#加密市场回升

Bitcoin experienced a stair-step decline after facing resistance near 73,000 in the early morning, with the lowest touch at 71,589, forming a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. The current price has rebounded to around 71,900, but upward momentum is clearly insufficient, indicating a weak correction after a decline.
On the 4-hour chart, consecutive bearish candles appear, with a preliminary bearish arrangement, and the downward trend continues. Technically, the 4-hour RSI has fallen back into a neutral to weak zone, and the MACD fast and slow lines have crossed downward and diverg

Yesterday evening’s thoughts on direction and the entry points given were very clear. As of now, even though it hasn’t hit the highest point yet, we’ve already broken out more than a thousand points of space. How many brothers followed along? $BTC

410 Bitcoin Auntie’s Morning Thoughts
Last night’s news once again stirred things up. The U.S. pushed Israel and Lebanon to discuss a ceasefire, and sentiment flared up instantly. The bulls seized the momentum to press their advantage, and the market saw a strong surge. In the early session, price directly charged at the 73,000 mark; above, liquidity was swept away in one wave, and short-term bullish sentiment was fully released.
At the daily level, the market still maintains a range-bound, choppy structure. Three consecutive K-lines with long upper wicks have already made the signal cryst

Evening Strategy BTCxETH
Primary: Light positions for observation or range trading. If BTC holds above 70,500 and ETH stabilizes above 2,170, then go long with small positions targeting BTC 71,500 and ETH 2,200. Stop loss if BTC drops below 70,200 or ETH drops below 2,150.
If geopolitical news worsens or BTC breaks below 70,000, reduce positions or lightly short. Target BTC 69,000 and ETH 2,100. Stop loss: quickly close above 71,000.
$BTC $ETH

Iran Threatens to Exit Ceasefire Agreement, Strait of Hormuz Risks Reignite
Core Events
Iranian officials send strong signals, hinting at the possibility of unilaterally withdrawing from the previously agreed two-week ceasefire. The market had generally bet on a de-escalation, but this expectation is now facing a rapid reversal.
Key Contradictions
De Facto Breakdown of the Agreement: Israeli military operations have not substantially paused, and the ceasefire framework lacks an implementation basis.
US Pressure: Iran explicitly blames the failure on US control lapses and hints at res

The morning outlook has been successfully realized, with the market moving nearly 1,000 points. Although this rally's continuation is relatively weak and the pace has noticeably slowed, the early strategic positioning remains quite accurate.
The current market structure has not undergone any significant changes. The subsequent strategy remains unchanged, with the core target still around 72,000. Just patiently wait for the rhythm to unfold naturally. $BTC
#加密市场小幅下跌

Thursday Morning Big-Pancake (BTC) Outlook
After yesterday’s surge, it entered a high-level range-bound consolidation. In the evening, it probed 728-729 but failed to break through, then pulled back to around 706. It is currently stabilizing above 705 and still remains in a high-range consolidation.
Short-term structure: Resistance at 728-735, support at 705-698.
For intraday trading: Longs—buy in batches on dips from 705-698; target 720-728; stop loss below 695. Shorts—when pressured at 725-730, sell in batches on rallies; target 710-700; stop loss above 735.
The market is mainly char

A few minutes ago, Bitcoin suddenly moved — the reason is absurd but reasonable:
Iran announced: During the ceasefire, the transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz will be settled in Bitcoin.
Not in US dollars, not in euros, but in BTC. At $1 per barrel, with a payment window of only a few seconds, specifically to evade sanctions.
Those who say "cryptocurrency has no use case," now take a look: the vital artery of global energy transportation, at critical moments, recognizes Bitcoin.
Funds understand instantly — adopting sovereignty is the ultimate benefit. $72k, directly breaking thr