🚨 The tariff bomb is set to detonate on time. Now is the real test—are you still holding your position? 💣
April 2, 2026 14:41
Crypto annotation: biantt.com
Just a few hours ago, I mentioned that bears are in control, and now the market continues to play out accordingly. Bitcoin at 66,567, down 3.49%; Ethereum at 2,045, down 4.66%. The 15-minute SuperTrend for both coins is fully red, with resistance lines pushing down along with the price, and bulls have no fight left. After the tariff policy was implemented, the market gave a clear answer—it's not digestion, it's panic.
Looking at the Bitcoin 15-minute chart, the recent decline on the right side looks very ugly. Starting from the high of 69,142, the SuperTrend turned red, and the price stepped down one level after another, with resistance lines following closely behind. Now it’s down to 67,130, and the current price of 66,567 is nearly $600 below the resistance. The lowest today was 66,171. It has slightly rebounded to 66,567, but with volume at 831, MA5 at 2,036, and MA10 at 1,926, volume is less than half of the moving averages. This rebound lacks volume support and cannot hold. Look at the volume bars during the decline—it's clearly larger than during the rebound, indicating selling pressure still dominates, and buying cannot keep up.
Ethereum is falling even harder, down 4.66%. From a high of 2,167 directly to today’s low of 2,037. The 15-minute SuperTrend turned red, with resistance at 2,076. The current price is 2,045, about $31 below resistance. Volume is 21,787, MA5 at 44,744, and MA10 at 48,778—less than half of the moving averages. Like Bitcoin, the problem is the same—down volume is high, rebound volume is low. From the chart, you can see that the volume bar of the large bearish candle on the right is the biggest during the entire period, indicating someone is actively selling off, not retail investors naturally retreating. The low of 2,037 is only $8 away from the current price and could test again at any moment.
Common features of both charts: SuperTrend is deep red, stepwise decline, decline with volume, rebound without volume, indicating the short-term bears are strongest.
📊 【BTC Scenario Analysis】 Current price 66,567
📉 50% probability: Rebound without volume, then retest the low of 66,000–66,171
Volume at 831 cannot support a rebound, with resistance at 67,130 pressing down. This small rebound is likely a better entry point for bears. Breaking the low of 66,171, the 66,000 integer level is the first line of defense below. Whether anyone can hold it will be revealed then.
⚖️ 25% probability: Range-bound consolidation between 66,000–67,130 with decreasing volume
Falling nearly $3,000, needs a breather, oscillating between lows and resistance to digest panic. But SuperTrend remains deep red, and sideways movement could break downward at any time—don’t mistake this for a bottom.
🚀 15% probability: Overreaction to tariffs, technical rebound to 67,000–67,500
If the market believes the tariff shock has been fully priced in, a technical rebound may occur. But resistance at 67,130 is the first hurdle, and above 67,500 there are heavier resistances. The rebound space is limited.
☠️ 10% probability: Break below 66,000, accelerate toward 65,000–65,500
Losing the key level, triggering stop-loss orders, with the 65,500–65,000 zone as a significant support below. If tariff panic continues to spread, this probability will increase.
📊 【ETH Scenario Analysis】 Current price 2,045
📉 50% probability: Test the low of 2,037 again, then look at 2,000 after breaking
Only $8 away from the low, and with insufficient volume, the rebound cannot withstand the bearish pressure. Once 2,037 breaks, the 2,000 psychological level below is the biggest support, where a batch of bottom-fishers are waiting. How long it can hold depends on market sentiment.
⚖️ 25% probability: Range-bound tug-of-war between 2,037–2,076
Oscillating between lows and resistance, waiting for BTC’s direction. Ethereum has no independent trend; if BTC doesn’t move, it can’t move either—just waiting it out.
🚀 15% probability: Follow BTC’s technical rebound, test resistance at 2,076
If BTC rebounds, Ethereum will follow and test the SuperTrend resistance at 2,076. But that is resistance, not support, and a strong rebound will likely be suppressed again.
☠️ 10% probability: Break below 2,037, heading straight to 1,966 or even 1,936 lows
Losing the lows combined with spreading panic, this entire rebound from 1,936 will be wiped out, requiring a new bottom.
💡 【Hardcore Trading Strategy】 Must-Read for Survival
Tariff implementation is not the end; subsequent negotiations, countermeasures, and market re-pricing will bring new volatility. The most dangerous mindset now is “It’s fallen so much, it should be bottoming out.”
🎯 Current trading rules:
∙ Shorts: When rebounding near BTC 67,000–67,130 and ETH 2,070–2,076 show signs of stagnation, add small positions with stop-losses above 67,400 and 2,100 respectively, targeting BTC 65,500 and ETH 2,000.
∙ Bottom-fishers: Buying now is risking your life on the edge. Wait for at least a 15-minute SuperTrend turn green + volume recovery for confirmation before entering. No signals, no entry—discipline is more valuable than courage.
∙ Those already trapped: Assess your risk exposure carefully. If BTC drops below 66,000 or ETH below 2,000, those are your final stop-loss levels. Holding on blindly is pointless.
Tariff war is a continuous event, not something that can be digested in a day. Manage your positions well, wait for clear market signals, and it’s a hundred times more important than chasing rebounds.
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⚠️ Content for reference only, not investment advice. The market is risky, make independent decisions.
