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How the Iran war has sowed panic among farmers
The recent agreement between America and Iran on April 7th establishes a two-week ceasefire, ensuring safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with Iran's armed forces.
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How the war has sowed panic among farmers
The U.S. and Iran reached a two-week ceasefire on April 7th, allowing for safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with Iranian forces.
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Coal is back in fashion
THE LAST cargoes of liquefied natural gas from the Gulf, the source of a fifth of global LNG production, set sail a month ago, before America and Israel attacked Iran. As these reach their destinations at the start of April, energy importers reliant on the stuff, particularly for electricity
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“Liberation Day” has reshaped trade—but not as Donald Trump hoped
On April 2, 2025, President Trump declared a significant economic independence through harsh tariffs, prompting severe backlash from global allies like Canada and Japan. This sparked fears of an impending trade war.
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Christine Lagarde’s sober tone on the Gulf war energy shock
Christine Lagarde warns that the risks of the Iran war are underestimated, highlighting the unprecedented energy shock. She suggests that expectations for a quick return to normal are overly optimistic, indicating a profound impact ahead.
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Inflation or recession? The tug of war in bond markets
The yield on ten-year American Treasury bonds is crucial, showing significant fluctuations influenced by global events like the Iran war, affecting borrowing costs and financial stability. Other countries also experience similar volatility in their bond yields.
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How Iran is making a mint from Donald Trump’s war
The ongoing Gulf war has damaged the reputation of Middle East petro-monarchies as reliable oil suppliers, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and significant reductions in production and export revenues.
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Can a country get too rich?
Norway's tribute to Edvard Munch is a striking 13-storey museum in Oslo, completed in 2021 at $350m, significantly delayed and over budget. It reflects the country's immense wealth, driven by a robust oil economy and a $2.2trn sovereign-wealth fund.
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After Iran, gold is looking less glittery
Investors typically seek assets that generate income, like bonds with coupons and stocks with dividends. However, gold stands apart as it yields no cash flow, and its limited practical uses don't fully explain its significant role in portfolios.
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The decline and fall of the Roman currency empire
In 1847, laborers in Kottayam, Kerala, discovered a hoard of ancient gold coins, which they traded cheaply. While many coins were melted down, some survived, providing valuable insights into global currency and ancient economies, with finds in locations like Scotland.
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As Iran’s civilian economy crumbles, its military economy grows stronger
In the initial month of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, there was a focus on avoiding civilian targets, with strategic attacks on oil and gas infrastructure leading to regional tensions and market instability.
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Bye, bye to the Trump trades
The essay explores the pivotal moments in Donald Trump's presidency that marked his transition into a "lame duck" status, analyzing decisions such as military strikes in Iran, Supreme Court rulings on tariffs, and public rebukes from the Federal Reserve.
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The war in the Gulf could cause a global food shock
On March 22nd, the _Nadab_ sailed through the Strait of Hormuz with 20,000 tonnes of fertilizer from Iran to South-East Asia, marking the last ship to leave since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. Shipments from the Gulf significantly declined following the conflict.
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Christine Lagarde’s sober tone on the Gulf war energy shock
Christine Lagarde warns that the risks of the Iran war are underestimated, highlighting the unprecedented energy shock. She suggests that expectations for a quick return to normal are overly optimistic, indicating a profound impact ahead.
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How high could global inflation go?
Average inflation in the rich world peaked over 10% in late 2022 due to supply-chain issues, stimulus checks, and energy shocks but fell to around 2% by early 2023, leading central bankers to believe inflation was under control.
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Markets are gripped by an alarming cognitive dissonance
Markets are paradoxical, where buyers and sellers believe they are making advantageous trades. Investors challenge markets while the "no-arbitrage" principle suggests identical pay-offs should equal prices, yet arbitrageurs continue to thrive.
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As Iran’s civilian economy crumbles, its military economy grows stronger
In the initial month of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, there was a focus on avoiding civilian targets, with strategic attacks on oil and gas infrastructure leading to regional tensions and market instability.
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“Liberation Day” has reshaped trade—but not as Donald Trump hoped
IN the president’S telling, April 2nd 2025 was “one of the most important days…in American history”. Donald Trump accused allies of having “looted” America before he proclaimed a “declaration of economic independence” through sweeping, nonsensical tariffs. The world recoiled and threatened to
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China’s new masterplan for its tech economy in 2030 and beyond
The 15th five-year plan outlines China's ambitious vision for the future, emphasizing technological advancements like flying taxis, fusion power, and quantum computing, akin to Elon Musk's futuristic ideas.
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Westerners are fleeing their countries in record numbers
After stepping down as New Zealand’s prime minister in 2023, Jacinda Ardern took up a role at Harvard University. Now she is based in Sydney. Ms Ardern’s decision to live abroad has struck a nerve with Kiwis, who were already worried about high levels of emigration. Anxiety over the former prime min
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