TonyTheBull

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Oil chart
Well oil beef hooked
Say it again
We will all be fucked
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Bitcoin is at one of its most pivotal moments in its entire lifecycle
Break down here, and a nearly decade long uptrend channel is dead
Bounce, and the upper limit of the channel is closer to $1M
HTF momentum is to the downside – so I have no choice but to expect a breakdown here
This is the move that gets even the most stubborn Bitcoin HODLers to sweat and panic
There is no more room to the downside – it is now or never for bulls to hold this support
BTC-2,38%
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One of my biggest problems is that I am often so full of ideas and passion, I overwhelm myself and don’t focus on what matters the most
I’m always getting distracted by “shiny” objects
My next major focus is going to be getting myself organized and practice better restraint in my messaging
Everything I do will become more clear moving forward
I realize I crashed and burned the other day — good
Everyone needs to find the bottom so the uptrend can resume
My value will increase exponentially once this consolidation phase is complete
I still have some accumulation to do
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Cycles
Signals
Crowds
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I declare the Bitcoin bear market officially over
(It's still April 1st, right?)
BTC-2,38%
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Cloudy out there
The forecast calls for rain-ing Bitcoin prices
BTC-2,38%
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What a bad place for an Evening Star to appear
(What a horrible night for a curse!) <- anyone know the reference?
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Bitcoin has a long time to go before it turns bullish again
Cycles, waves, and momentum will win in the end
Just because you can't see these forces in action, doesn't mean they aren't in the driver's seat
BTC-2,38%
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Zulkipli7vip:
Good Lfg too the moon hdhdjdndbdbdbdndnmd zbzvszznxnncjcjc xncnfnf
Nice guy Tony is back
See how nice I am saying there's only under 200 days left and just another -49% to go?
Past bear markets at this point had between -52 and -63% more to go, and between 273 to 456 days left
You're welcome
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GateUser-dc4d048cvip:
spot on
Bitcoin has only ever bottomed AFTER the bearish TK cross on the monthly Ichimoku
The Hunt for Red October remains
BTC-2,38%
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GateUser-cf1d910evip:
gjyrdxcvhd ggdeet
There was a guy who really liked my Bitcoin art
If you see this, reply — I can’t find your original reply
I realized I do have a digital version I can send you to print
BTC-2,38%
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An important indicator I watch is admittedly flipping bullish
It was bullish a couple weeks ago, but switched back bearish — so I did too
It’s not fully given a bull signal and is still bearish but the gap is narrowing
If it flips, Bitcoin reclaims the levels I just showed on Slice, I have to adapt that the market for risk assets will pump for several weeks
It won’t change other parts of my thesis/strategy
The above is short term
Medium term is unchanged:
October 2026 (10% in either direction allowed, so Sept or Nov works) at around a -72% total drawdown to $34,000ish
Long term I feel even mo
BTC-2,38%
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Stopped out
Good game
Rematch?
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A winner is often someone who has failed, but never gave up
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Michael Saylor is a stable, genius mastermind
Zero risk to Bitcoin whatsoever
He won’t crash his company stock by 99% again — why would you ever think that?
BTC-2,38%
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Bitcoiner’s are right — I admit defeat
BTCUSD will indeed go up for all eternity
HODLing blindly > trading with tact
Quantum will be fixed next week because the devs are so adaptable
Satoshi’s coins are not a risk
The economy is in great shape
I was surprised by all the intelligent, thoughtful discussion yesterday
The business cycle is just beginning
Bitcoin models are unbreakable—even S2F is still right just lagging by several years
Etc
Etc
BTC-2,38%
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Taking a break for the night
I am being too polarizing and it’s working against me
I’m diluting my own voice by being too loud
I recognize this and will do better
I was operating at a frequency that is drawing negativity
I’ll fix that
🙏
Sorry if I crossed into offensive today
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Bitcoin momentum: Monthly, Quarterly, Half a Year (Not enough data for Yearly)
All of the highest timeframes show bearish momentum only just beginning
Momentum persists
BTC-2,38%
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GateUser-bb4112aevip:
jshehehebehhehshdjdjd
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SPX candlestick analysis
From left to right:
Quarterly candle at 50% support + sell signal pivot trigger >
Monthly long black candlestick >
Weekly struggling with support turned resistance/lower BB >
Daily pumping, bullish pattern, but is struggling with gap/falling window
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