BTC_POWER_LA

vip
Age 2.1 Yıl
Peak Tier 0
No content yet
Here cost of computing going down due to deflation and cost of things going down due to Bitcoin network properties. I'm actually telling you a better story than Jeff does. @JeffBooth
I still like the general spirit of the idea and that we should live in an abundant economy. Perfect.
But the role of Bitcoin in all this is not explained by deflation or inflation that irrelevant to Bitcoin dynamics.
BTC0,18%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Jeff Booth's "Price of Tomorrow" claims things get cheaper in Bitcoin because technology creates deflation. This chart tests that claim with actual data.
Panel 1 shows technology made cars modestly cheaper over 16 years. About 1.5x in real terms. That's the green line in Panel 2.
Panel 2 shows what actually happened when you price a car in Bitcoin. It went from 2.1 million BTC in 2010 to 0.22 BTC in 2026. That's a 10 million x decline. The blue line.
The green line is nearly flat. The blue line collapses. Tech deflation predicts 1.5x cheaper. Reality delivered 10 million x cheaper.
Where did t
BTC0,18%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I don't understand why people like plausible good sounding story when Bitcoin data tell us a story much better than anybody in Bitcoin world ever told.
I'm actually saying that Bitcoin is much better than sound money and deflation or inflation are irrelevant to Bitcoin. The network effects trumps everything else.
It is math, guys, not a bunch of words.
The Test: What If Inflation Disappeared Tomorrow?
Booth's model predicts:
Technology still deflates at 5-10%/year
Bitcoin purchasing power grows 5-10%/year
Bitcoin price growth slows to near zero (no inflation to "fight")
Power law model pred
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Bitcoin Live with the Power Law & Minotaur Team, #31 4/02/2026
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Join un at 5:35 PM PST for the Bitcoin Live show where we discuss recent Bitcoin price action using the power law and liquidity indicators.
Yes, Marcus will be there.
Show is here on X, YouTube and Twitch.
BTC0,18%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I know some of my posts are controversial but I truly care about understanding Bitcoin for what truly is and not projecting our fantasies, biases and misunderstandings into it.
Bitcoin is truth, so we should be able to converge to this truth together, using science, logic and data.
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The Physics of Bitcoin is much more than a book about the power law.
At its core, it asks a deeper question: What is value?
Is value truly subjective, as commonly claimed, or is it possible to identify an objective measure of value?
The book argues that such an objective framework is not only possible—but that Bitcoin may already be moving in that direction.
While much more work remains to be done, the goal of the book is to lay both the scientific and philosophical foundations for exploring this fundamental question.
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Who wears it better?
1) Quantile regression that uses linear price and linear time.
2) Quantile regression that uses log price and linear time
3) Quantile regression that uses log price and log time.
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
This hysteria about the Gold power law being “broken” actually helps clarify things even further about what the power law is really about.
Do you realize what it really implies? Bitcoin is essentially laughing at gold’s attempt to catch up. A 3× move may look impressive in isolation, but it is trivial compared to a system that has grown by a factor of 100,000,000 over 17 years.
That contrast is the whole point—it highlights what a truly scale-invariant system looks like.
Now think in log scale. The apparent “deviation” becomes almost negligible. It’s well within statistical error.
Focus on the
BTC0,18%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The Gold power law is perfectly fine. What we never claimed is that there exists a fixed floor at 50% of the reference price—that feature is specific to BTC/USD, not to gold.
This distinction is essential, and it’s unclear why it keeps being misunderstood. Gold behaves differently because it moves relative to fiat, not within a self-referential, scale-invariant monetary system like Bitcoin.
What’s actually remarkable is that even after gold’s recent ~3× increase—following decades of stagnation—it still remains within roughly 2σ of its power law trend.
That fluctuation is just noise. The real t
BTC0,18%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
"The Physics of Bitcoin" with Giovanni and Stephen #42 4/01/2026
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
"The Physics of Bitcoin" with Giovanni and Stephen #41 3/25/2026
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The 3 Power Law Graces of Bitcoin.
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
While Bitcoin seems to move sideways, read the Physics of Bitcoin to understand where we are going and why. Support real Bitcoin science.
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Why the power law is a big deal.
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Can we discover Bitcoin's power law origin from the data itself? We tested this by fitting P = A·(t - t₀)^n where all three parameters are optimized simultaneously. The question: does the data prefer Genesis Block (t₀=0) or some other origin?
The R² landscape reveals the answer. When we scan across different values of t₀, the function is remarkably flat around Genesis Block. Plus notice the enormous confidence band.
The unconstrained optimizer finds a mathematical optimum at t₀ = +202 days (July 2009), improving R² from 0.9613 to 0.9628 - a gain of just 0.15% (well within the error bands).
B
BTC0,18%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
  • Pin