PieCircleNOVADiary

This wave of BTC surging to 76,000 isn’t just a simple long push—it’s short sellers being driven into a corner.
A whale’s $78 million short position is about to be liquidated; its unrealized loss is already nearly half!
If the price ticks up a bit more, his short will be forcibly closed by the system, turning into passive buy orders and directly pushing the price even higher.
But the key point is this: this kind of liquidation-forced rally is a one-off. Once the liquidation ends, the buy orders disappear immediately, and at the highs it can easily turn into a “mountaintop”—friends chasin

$ETH April 14 Evening Bitcoin Strategy | 1-Hour MACD Bearish Divergence Death Cross Warning, Avoid Chasing High, Reversal Play for Pullback
📊 🔥
【Core Warning】
Clear high-risk signals have appeared in the market! The 1-hour MACD shows a typical bearish divergence + death cross confirmation pattern, with the price surging to 2416.40 to set a new high, but the MACD red histogram momentum is shrinking and turning green, indicating that the bullish strength has been completely exhausted, and the technical pullback risk has been fully released.
The short-term shift from strength to weakne

During the night, the extreme tug-of-war between bulls and bears, our core judgment has already been perfectly validated.
"Before the direction is clear, controlling your hands is winning; strictly trading on the right side, chasing after volume-breakouts," this is not empty talk but the practical rule of tonight.
The price repeatedly oscillates and consolidates above 74,000, many friends keep chasing highs and selling lows, repeatedly being swept out, while we stick to the right-side signals, decisively entering after trend confirmation, directly capturing this wave of upward profit.
#b

$BTC 4/14 Bitcoin Evening Analysis | 1-Hour MACD Bearish Divergence Death Cross Warning, Avoid Chasing High, Reversal Play on Pullback
📊
【Core Warning】
A clear high-risk signal has already appeared on the chart! The 1-hour MACD shows a typical bearish divergence + death cross at a critical point, with the price surging to 75,849.99 to set a new high, but the MACD red histogram momentum is shrinking simultaneously, indicating that the bullish strength has been completely exhausted, and a technical pullback risk is imminent.
The short-term shift from strong to weak momentum is complete, and the

Currently, the battle between bulls and bears is at its extreme, and with no clear direction, do not act blindly.
Strictly follow the right side, chase longs on volume breakout, decisively follow shorts on volume breakdown, before the direction is clear, holding back is winning.
#加密市場回升 #美軍封鎖霍爾木茲海峽 #btc #eth

April 14th latest news: The French presidential office announced that the UK and France will hold a video conference on Friday regarding the Strait of Hormuz issue.
This is not an ordinary diplomatic communication but a direct reflection of the ongoing escalation of the Middle East situation, which could lead to market panic if the situation gets out of control.
#加密市場回升 #美軍封鎖霍爾木茲海峽 #btc #eth

April 14 Midday Analysis of the Second Bullish Wave:
✅1. Main Short (Primary Choice)
Entry: 2370–2380 in batches to short
Stop Loss: 2405 (abandon if it breaks previous high)
Targets: 2330 → 2300 → 2260
✅2. Defensive Long (Alternative)
Stabilizing at 2330–2340 with increased volume, light position short-term long
Stop Loss: 2315; Targets: 2370–2380
Key Zones
• Resistance (High Short Zone )): 2375–2395 strong resistance; 2400–2450 ultimate trap zone
• Support (Targets )): 2330–2340 (First support )); 2300–2310 (Strong support )); 2250–2260 (Deep target)
Short-term cycle (1/4 hour): Volume sharp

$BTC 4/14 Bitcoin midday analysis:
1-hour timeframe shows a classic bearish divergence (price hits a new high of 74,900, but MACD histogram does not reach a new high), accompanied by a death cross expectation. Short-term no longer chasing longs.
✅ High short (main strategy: 1-hour death cross to avoid risk)
• Entry 1 (trend-following short): around 74,500
Logic: Use the 1-hour death cross signal to short directly, aiming for a pullback.
Stop loss: above 74,900 (must stay above 74,900 new high to prove the death cross is a false signal).
Target: 73,500 (1-hour midline) → 73,000 (previously dens

Risk appetite recovery, short-term positive sentiment
If the ceasefire agreement is successfully extended to 45 days and the conflict does not escalate again, the market's "tail risk premium" will disappear, and institutional funds will re-enter risk asset allocation, causing BTC/ETH volatility to decrease and the trend to become more stable and restorative.
If the ceasefire is not extended, and the conflict escalates again after the April 22 expiration, geopolitical risk will once again become the main market theme, and BTC/ETH will revert to risk-off selling logic, with prices likely to rete

Big pancake idea perfectly executed
✅ Low-long strategy
Entry 1 (Breakout & retest): Go long in the 71,791-71,935 range.
Execution: After the price found support in this range, it surged strongly, topping out at 74,900—perfectly matching the “retest without breaking, then go long” entry logic.
• Entry 2 (Second retest): Watch for a chance to go long as 71,545 (38.2% Fibonacci level) holds steady.
Execution: The intraday low did not fall below this key support, opening the upward room from 72,188-72,500 for the bulls.
• Target: The short-term target 72,188→72,500 has been fully reac

$ETH 4/13 Double Bottom Evening Precise Analysis｜1-Hour Trend Reversal, Bollinger Upper Band Breakout, Bullish Trend Confirmation, Right-Side Momentum 📊
🔥 Main Direction
Double Bottom 1-Hour MACD bullish crossover continues (DIF crosses above DEA, the red histogram keeps expanding), price breaks out with increased volume above the Bollinger upper band (around 2227); bearish momentum has been completely reversed, and the bullish trend dominates the market;
Current price 2216.64 has broken through the previous downtrend line, and it is above the Fibonacci 23.6% resistance level, with a high re

$BTC 4/13 Precise Evening Analysis of Bitcoin | 1-Hour Trend Reversal, Bollinger Upper Band Breakout, Bullish Trend Confirmation, Right-Side Momentum 📊
🔥 Main Direction
Bitcoin 1-hour MACD bullish crossover continues (DIF crosses above DEA, red bars keep expanding), price volume breaks through Bollinger upper band (around 71922), short-term bearish momentum is completely reversed, bulls dominate the market;
Current price is 71935, having broken through the previous downtrend line, and standing above the Fibonacci 23.6% resistance level, reaching a high of 72188;
71791-71935 is a strong short

Is Iran acknowledging this round? #美軍封鎖霍爾木茲海峽 #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #btc #eth

Today's strategy is fully implemented with smooth execution:
✅ High-altitude take profit: close short at 70836, earning 2372U profit, precisely hitting the pressure level
✅ Low-long take profit: close long at 71138, securing 6279U profit, perfectly executing at the support level
✅ Open position unrealized profit: single long position floating profit exceeds 9000U, return rate directly reaching 128%!
#美軍封鎖霍爾木茲海峽 #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #btc

📊 4/13 Erhu Bing (ETH) Midday Trading Thoughts Fulfillment Reflection
Combining the April 13th midday analysis with the real-time market on the day (price range 2170-2220), the bearish outlook was precisely executed, with the signals triggered seamlessly.
1. Short-selling strategy (main direction) ✅ Perfectly executed
• Entry executed: The analysis clearly provided a short within the 2220-2240 range. After the market’s highest price quickly touched around 2220, it rapidly came under pressure, perfectly entering the short zone, and the signal was accurate with no error.
• Target achiev

4/13 Bitcoin morning analysis core judgment 100% confirmed and landed, with precise timing and no mistakes.
• Entry landing: It requires a rebound to 71100-71287, then try a short again after the rebound stalls. After the price touches 71091, it quickly drops back, and the pressure-absorption signal accurately triggers.
• Target landing:
First target 70625-70458: The price quickly probes down into the 70505 range, and the short position smoothly takes profit.
Rebound confirmation: After breaking down, the rebound has no strength; it matches the right-side short setup rhythm.
#美軍封鎖霍爾木茲海峽 #Gate廣

4/13 Two-Week Midday Analysis:
✅ Midday Strategy
Bearish bias; mainly looking for short positions at higher levels
✅• Short: Enter in the 2220–2240 range
Stop loss: 2270
Targets: 2170 → 2140 → 2100
✅• Go long (light position): Enter at 2120–2140 to buy
Stop loss: 2090
Targets: 2190 → 2220
Technical Logic
• 4-hour: Pullback from the high; breaks below MA7/MA20
• RSI(4h): ~48 → Neutral, slightly bearish
Volume: Continually shrinking; no-volume rebound
Key Levels
Support (Defense)
• 2182–2170
Resistance (Pressure)
• 2220–2230
MACD: Dead cross below the 0 axis; bears have the upper hand
• Bollinge

$BTC 4/13 Bitcoin midday precise analysis | 15-minute death cross pullback, Bollinger middle band under pressure, narrow range oscillation, right-side trend-following
Main direction
Bitcoin’s 15-minute MACD has formed a death cross (DIF crosses below DEA, MACD value -1.1). The price retraces to the Bollinger middle band (around 70956) and faces pressure, with bears dominating in the short term;
71100-71287 is a strong short-term resistance. Only a volume breakout can repair the death cross and bring the price back to an upward move;
70625-70458 is a strong short-term support. If it bre

April 13 Evening Bitcoin Strategy Has Been Realized
Short-term bullish (conservative) ✅ Fully realized
• Entry confirmation: Analysis indicated the 2175-2185 range (near the current price), with the lowest price touching 2173 in the early morning, precisely reaching the entry zone, light position long entry perfectly matched.
• Target achievement:
First target 2200-2210: Price surged to 2217.70, breaking through this range, resulting in substantial gains for the bulls.
Second target 2245-2260: Although not fully reached, the upward momentum was entirely in line with expectations, sho

Next, it depends on when the UK and France announce the deployment of warships.
Will Iran escalate warnings,
or will Iran be able to successfully charge fees!!!
If oil prices break through key resistance levels, inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policy expectations will directly rewrite the entire crypto market trend. #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #btc #eth