LaughingDaysYsxdct

Is there a possibility? Could this be the strategic goal that Trump set from the beginning? (Just guessing)
1. First, pressure Iran to block the strait;
2. Call on allies for help, if allies don't help, break with allies, criticize allies;
3. Negotiation (it's expected that core demands won't be agreed upon, obvious);
4. Pretend to be overwhelmed, get angry, act crazy and shout for a complete blockade of the strait;

Say what you mean, Trump is on par with the old emperor back then, full of bravado!

Finally turned on the computer.
First, the premise: the citation is already quite clear, this wave of pullback is a positive development after the gains, combined with technical indicators showing a need for a correction; but since the first round of negotiations was not successful, it is already priced in by the market, so it doesn't really count as bad news.
So, currently, in the absence of clear guidance from news and information, we can judge through technical analysis:

The first line was stimulated by the news, and the tug-of-war has begun;
Combined with the technical analysis in the fourth point, a decline is normal, which is easy to predict.
What’s hard to predict is where the drop will stop, so we need to track the strength of this wave of decline;
What to look at? How far can it fall with this news in the first wave, and how strong is it? What is the structure like? How is the support at key levels? Then make a judgment.
70,000 is a very good observation point.

Since there hasn't been much fluctuation over the weekend, I decided to step out and check the market. These are a few aspects I've recently been paying attention to that influence the market:

Poetic Prose《She Said》 When VC coins go live at their peak, and the speed at which retail investors take the bag can’t keep up with the rate at which the project team is pouring— she said: “You can short it?” When the 1011 incident ignites public outrage and everyone posts to denounce— she said: “Those who pursue their rights won’t get paid!” When the meme’s upper limit drops from 10B to 1B to 500M to 100M— she said: “Neither I, the official account, nor XX employees will recommend any meme”

In the past few days, the big names calling for Congress to pass the "Structural Act" include:
Treasury Secretary: Bessant
SEC attention: Paul
Coinbase CEO: Armstrong
Senator: Cynthia Lummis
Looking forward to speeding up the process soon, or else the market will really die out, and it will be difficult to revive it later. Take advantage of the current semi-dead state and keep administering the tonic!

Hurry up and pass!

$BTC Bitcoin, look at the 4-hour chart: MACD green bars diverging, RSI indicator diverging, three upward incense sticks. According to conventional thinking, this position is a good opportunity to open a short position; but, if viewed from the overall perspective, the rally starting from 65697 is 1.618 times the previous upward move, and while the indicator diverges, the candlesticks are digesting this with sideways consolidation.

The strength of the S&P and Nasdaq doesn't seem like a rebound, but rather a restart of a new upward cycle after a five-month correction.
So the question is, if the US stock market returns to a bull market, will Bitcoin still drop below 50%?

Right now, the whole internet’s attention is basically focused on all kinds of news about Trump and Iran, with all sorts of TACO filling the space; Here’s a piece of news about the crypto world: Bessent (Treasury Secretary) and Paul Atkins (ZEC Chair) have been urging Congress to advance the "Structural Act" as soon as possible in the past couple of days;

Regarding $CRCL , currently from the market perspective, there are some differences from the initial estimate:
1. Figure 1 shows the predicted movement when it first started to adjust; so far, the wave pattern basically matches, but the first wave's decline was deeper than I initially estimated;

1. Essentially, the assets I am currently focusing on in the market are all experiencing sideways movements (cryptocurrency 1, 2 coins, US stock indices, individual US stocks, gold and silver, crude oil);

The “big pie” $BTC ’s short-term shorting signal given early this morning is still quite clear; however, whether the scale can be expanded depends on whether the bears are putting in enough effort. Currently, from the indicators: it’s that the 6H and lower timeframes need a pullback, while the larger timeframes 1D---1W still show a bullish resonance; the middle timeframes are being tugged in both directions. From the wave pattern and structure perspective: it’s still a zigzag wave, with no aggressive momentum—mainly trading in a range.

I’m planning to wait until I reach the extreme positions before I consider touching the pullback from the left side. For “big pie” (BTC), between 735-745; for gold, 5000; for silver, 83. If I can’t hit those levels, and there’s no key signal, then I won’t do it—no problem. I’ll just wait; at most I won’t make a profit. If I just go blindly and make moves, I’ll definitely lose. Besides, I know that I generally make more money by going long; when I short, it’s only to earn a bit for living expenses.