GeniusTraderBrotherJie

Friday, April 17th Market Analysis at Noon
According to the latest news, Trump announced that Israel and Lebanon have both agreed to a 10-day ceasefire. This development meets market expectations and is positive for the market. Next, the market’s focus will shift to developments in the US-Iran negotiations. Trump revealed that a second round of US-Iran talks may be held this weekend, and stated that some progress has been made on the Iran issue. As for whether the US-Iran ceasefire will be extended, it is still uncertain. Therefore, this weekend’s situation is quite special, and the broader

Wednesday, April 15th Market Analysis
Bitcoin indeed, as I mentioned in my live broadcast, surged to 76,000 resistance and quickly pulled back.
Yesterday's point level in the live broadcast was also perfect.
Now the coin price has fallen back to around 74,000 for consolidation.
The daily chart is beginning to decline, with moving averages returning to support below.
Below, 72,500-73,000 is an important safeguard level; above, continue to watch the strength of resistance at 76,000.
The 4-hour structure is starting to move downward, perfectly coinciding with the daily M-top we discus

Tuesday, April 14th Market Analysis.
Yesterday's daytime trading continued to fluctuate, then due to a sudden positive development in US-Iran negotiations, the Strait of Hormuz expectations heated up, and the market rebounded strongly.
It has already touched near the upper band, and this morning the highest price reached around 74,800. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 74,400.
The market is highly likely to see the bulls exhausted and turn bearish.
On the hourly chart, the upper band shows strong resistance and has fallen back; the price failed to stay above the upper band aft

4.13 Midday Market Analysis
The 1-hour timeframe shows a clear bearish trend, since the rebound from the high of 73,000, it has consecutively broken key moving averages and Bollinger Band support levels, with rebound strength remaining weak, and the low has dipped to around 70,400. Currently, the KDJ indicator shows only a weak correction trend, the Bollinger Bands continue to diverge downward, and bearish momentum has not shown significant weakening. Coupled with the lack of positive news support, the short-term trend remains bearish. It is recommended to maintain a high short position strate

4.12 Midday Market Analysis
The latest round of negotiations between the US and Iran directly collapsed, with 21 hours of talks ending without results. The US slammed the table and walked out, while Iran said, "Don't be too greedy." The deadlock revolves around three issues: the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran wants sole control and passage fees; the nuclear issue, where the US demands Iran completely disarm and not touch nuclear activities in the future; and over hundreds of billions of frozen assets, where the US only allows buying food and medicine but not cash withdrawals.
Once the news b

4.9 Thursday Noon Market Analysis
In terms of news, yesterday it was just announced that a ceasefire has been reached, and today Israel has increased its attacks on Lebanon. Iranian analysts have clearly warned: Israel is trying to sabotage the ceasefire. If they don’t stop, fighting in the region could flare up again at any time. The ceasefire has only been one day, yet it already shows cracks—yesterday the market was celebrating wildly, and today it’s about to be doused with cold water. Once the situation escalates again, risk assets will be hit first; the ceasefire agreement is hanging by

4.8 Wednesday Afternoon Market Analysis
Last night, Trump announced at the last minute a two-week ceasefire with Iran, on the condition that Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz. Once this news broke, Bitcoin immediately surged from more than 67,000 to 72,500, Ethereum also jumped to 2,260, and mainstream coins all turned green.
This move is a typical example of a news catalyst. The US-Iran ceasefire caused oil prices to crash by nearly 20%. As risk sentiment cooled down, funds all rushed into risk assets.
But if you think calmly, this two-week ceasefire is basically just a buffer period. Neg

4.7 Tuesday midday market analysis
Bitcoin's four-hour chart broke resistance and then pulled back under pressure, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The price is approaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Once it breaks below that level, it will trigger market panic and open up full downside potential!
The one-hour chart continues to trade weakly near the lower band. The slight rebound does not change the downward pattern, and the rebound strength is extremely weak. All rebounds are just traps for more selling! The final 48-hour ultimatum will be announced tonight. The chance