Polymarket’s probability for a ceasefire between the US and Iran before May 31 has fallen to 39%, down 12% within 24 hours. Total trading volume is approaching $85 million, and both sides must publicly confirm for a ceasefire to occur. Personnel changes in the U.S. military have triggered dissatisfaction among senior officials, adding to tensions.

A lawsuit involving SpaceX shares could have a major impact on how proceeds from its upcoming IPO are distributed. The dispute stems from a collaboration between Trellis Software and ClearList Holdings; Trellis alleges that ClearList attempted to dilute its stake, while ClearList counters that Trellis failed to deliver the software. The case’s progress will affect private equity funding worth billions of dollars and has sparked attention to protections for shareholders and market rules.

Park Wang-yeol was referred to prosecutors over allegations of large-scale drug trafficking from the Philippines. During the period from November 2019 to July 2024, he was involved in smuggling illegal drugs, generating illegal proceeds totaling 6.8 billion won and bringing the total crime scale to 13.1 billion won. Police will pursue his concealed funds and records of Bitcoin transactions.

Social platform X is rolling out a new risk-control mechanism to combat scams that promote fake tokens after accounts are taken over. The system will automatically detect abnormal behavior and require identity verification to reduce the spread of scams. However, this measure has sparked controversy because it may mistakenly flag legitimate users. This initiative shows that social platforms are shifting roles in the crypto ecosystem, and it needs to strike a balance between security and openness.

Bitcoin’s price has remained sluggish, currently hovering around $66,000, with a nearly 6% decline over the past week. On-chain data shows that unrealized losses among holders are close to $60 billion, and market risk is increasing. The macroeconomic environment is unfavorable; institutional capital is returning slowly. Technical analysis indicates that the key resistance level is $71,500 and the support level is $64,000. Large holders are increasing their selling, strengthening the market’s cautious sentiment. Going forward, price action will depend on capital returning and the market sentiment improving.

Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms sold 3,778 BTC in the first quarter of 2026, raising nearly $290 million in cash and reducing its holdings by about 18%. Several mining companies have cut their positions as well, reflecting rising funding pressure. Despite weakening market demand, some institutions are still accumulating Bitcoin, indicating that demand is concentrating toward participants with stronger financial capacity. In the short term, the price trend will be influenced by the clash between supply and demand.

According to CoinGecko data, on April 3, a certain CEX had trading volume of $865 million; the top five tokens were XRP, BTC, ONT, USDT, and ETH, with XRP having the highest trading volume at 13.81%.

Gate News update: On April 3, according to CoinAnk data, over the past 24 hours, liquidations across the entire market totaled $248 million, including approximately $125 million liquidated from long positions and approximately $123 million liquidated from short positions. By coin, Bitcoin liquidations were about $48.13 million, and Ethereum liquidations were about $28.34 million.

Gate News message, April 3, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the probability of USD.ai having an FDV over $100 million on the day after launch is 92%, the probability of over $150 million is 85%, and the probability of over $200 million is 50%. As of now, trading volume in this prediction market has already exceeded $2.5 million.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, CHCUSD100 () has dropped by 1.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market activity.