DWF Labs co-founder Andrei Grachev said the market is currently in a “boring” phase, with many important activities quietly underway. He advised investors to stay patient and look for a better timing. He emphasized that opportunities still exist in the market—such as holding Bitcoin or participating in altcoins—and urged retail investors to keep learning and remain optimistic.

Gate News message: On April 10, according to CME "FedWatch" data, before the CPI data is released, the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of cumulative rate cuts of 25 basis points is 1.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 1.7%.

Gate News message. On April 9, according to the latest data from CME’s “FedWatch,” as of April 10, the probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in April is 98.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.6%.

Market expectations are that the U.S. February PCE data will show that inflation pressures remain, with PCE rising to 0.4% month over month and 2.8% year over year. Core PCE is expected to be around 3.0% year over year, above the Federal Reserve’s target. The Federal Reserve may continue to hold the 3.50%-3.75% interest-rate range in April, while rate-cut expectations cool.

The Federal Reserve faces a complex situation with low-interest-rate policy. Even though a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran provides an opportunity for the global economy, energy price volatility could still keep inflation elevated. War is not the main obstacle to rate cuts; instead, it may intensify policy caution, hindering progress toward easing.

Gate News message, April 7, gold supporter Peter Schiff posted, saying that assuming Bitcoin drops to $10k by the end of 2026, it will still be the best-performing asset of the next decade. Schiff said he is sure Michael Saylor will rely on this to keep pushing up the price of Bitcoin and issue more shares to buy Bitcoin. But a 92% drop will make it the worst-performing investment for most long-term holders.

Deepfake AI is seriously threatening banks and KYC systems at crypto platforms, as attackers use tools that combine deepfakes and voice cloning to bypass identity verification. Financial experts recommend building a layered defense system to keep up with continuously evolving fraud tactics and protect digital identity security.

Russian economist Denis Astafiev said that during times of economic instability, cryptocurrency and related investment risks are extremely high, and he recommends that investors keep their allocation ratio between 5% and 10% to prevent losses.

Gate News message: On April 5, OPEC+ held a committee meeting on Sunday, expressing concern about attacks on energy assets during the war between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. It said that the repair costs for the relevant facilities are high and will take a long time, which will affect overall supply capacity. The meeting statement emphasized that ensuring the safety of international sea lanes is crucial to keep energy flowing without interruption. The statement also noted that attacks on energy infrastructure are concerning and that restoring damaged energy assets back to full-load operation is both costly and time-consuming, thereby affecting overall supply capacity.

Gate News update: On April 3, according to CME's “FedWatch” data, ahead of the nonfarm payrolls release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 7.8%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 91.7%, and the probability of raising rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 0.5%.