Robert Ruszała, a well-known Polish market analyst known as “El Profesor,” publicly apologized, admitting that his Bitcoin prediction plan was incorrect, and released a detailed analytical report explaining the reasons for his prediction failure.
He initially released a forecast report titled “The Plan,” which depicted a Bitcoin upward trajectory based on market fractals, the 50-week moving average, and the seasonal fluctuations commonly referred to as the “Santa Rally.” According to his model, Bitcoin is expected to maintain an upward trend and provide long opportunities at specific technical levels.
However, the market negated this prediction in just three weeks. Bitcoin fell below a key area, completely overturning the previous upward structure.
On November 21, Lusala directly responded to the failed transaction, stating: “I failed… I sincerely apologize to everyone who followed my plan. I know where I went wrong.”
Lusala then explained that he always prepares for two scenarios - bullish and bearish. The first scenario drops from about $116,000 to $94,700. A larger drop triggered his bearish expectations. He emphasized that reacting to market changes is more important than sticking to a single direction.
Afterwards, Rusala released a technical analysis report explaining the mistake. He pointed out that he had incorrectly ranked the probabilities of several indicators. He said that it was this ranking error that led him to misjudge the potential trend of Bitcoin. (BeinCrypto)
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Strategy's STRC Preferred Stock Hits $1.1B Daily Volume as Bitcoin Purchases Continue
Strategy Inc.'s preferred stock STRC saw $1.1 billion in trading volume as the company continues its Bitcoin acquisition program, purchasing 13,927 BTC. STRC has become vital for raising capital, with a target of $84 billion by 2027.
GateNews2m ago
BTC 15-minute drop of 0.54%: Liquidity worsens and whales actively reduce positions, putting short-term pressure on the market
From 22:15 to 22:30 (UTC) on 2026-04-14, BTC saw a short-term pullback of 0.54% within the high-range band of 73911.6 - 74314.4 USDT, with a return of -0.54%. During this period, market swings were evident, volatility intensified, attention from the market quickly increased, and downward pressure on the order book was prominent.
The main drivers behind this unusual move were the continued deterioration of market liquidity and a clear lack of order book depth, which made the BTC price extremely sensitive to large sell orders. At the same time, during the key time window, whale wallets carried out large transfers and also engaged in active de-risking,
GateNews1h ago
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC CME Gap Near $69,500, Tron Expands USDT Utility, and APEMARS Stage ...
The crypto market is heating up again, are you ready for the next big move? With the latest Bitcoin price prediction signaling potential upside and major ecosystems like Tron expanding utility, investors are actively searching for the next breakout opportunity and the best crypto presale. Timing
BlockChainReporter1h ago
Goldman Sachs Files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF with SEC
Goldman Sachs has applied to the SEC to launch a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, marking its entry into the Bitcoin ETF market. This follows Morgan Stanley's recent launch of a similar product, highlighting growth in institutional Bitcoin yield-focused investments.
GateNews4h ago
BTC 跌破 74000 USDT
Gate News bot 消息，Gate 行情显示，BTC 跌破 74000 USDT，现价 73999.9 USDT。
CryptoRadar4h ago
