10x Research analysis points out that Bitcoin has broken below $69,000, market structure has shifted, traders have significantly adjusted positions, futures liquidations have increased, funding rates are negative, options capital flows are directed toward downside protection, signaling market hedging demand against downside risks. Meanwhile, the market's pricing in of rate hike expectations diverges from the Federal Reserve's rate cut guidance, which may impact the performance of risk assets.

The 0x report points out that some propAMM on the Base network have quote fraud behavior, with operators publishing false prices using Flashblock structures, causing trader losses. This could result in approximately $500,000 in monthly losses. 0x will monitor and cut off non-compliant liquidity to protect users.

Gate News reports that on March 18, the Federal Reserve's FOMC released a statement on March 19 with three changes compared to the January statement: First, adjustment to unemployment rate language, changing "unemployment rate has shown certain signs of stabilization" to "unemployment rate has changed little in recent months"; Second, addition of Middle East situation-related language, noting that "the impact of Middle East developments on the U.S. economy remains uncertain"; Third, Federal Reserve Governor Waller's stance shift, previously supporting a rate cut of 25 basis points at the last meeting, now changed to support keeping rates unchanged.

18 Marat kabar, sebuah alamat paus raksasa melakukan cut loss setelah membuka posisi 12217 ETH dua bulan lalu, secara berturut-turut mengurangi posisi 3203 dan menyetor 4007 ETH, saat ini masih mengalami floating loss sebesar 2.048 juta dolar AS.

The Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, with markets focusing on Powell's statements regarding inflation and future policy. Rising core PCE and oil price pressure limit rate cut space, with only a 30% probability of rate cuts expected this year. Political factors affecting Powell's tenure have clear market reactions, with risk assets and cryptocurrency prices set to be impacted.

Pesan ChainCatcher, menurut laporan Jinshi, anggota Federal Reserve Milan menyatakan bahwa tahun ini perlu menurunkan suku bunga sekitar 1 poin persentase.

ChainCatcher Pesan, menurut Jinshi, setelah data CPI diumumkan, ekspektasi pemangkasan suku bunga Federal Reserve pada tahun 2026 telah meningkat menjadi 61 basis poin, sementara sebelumnya hanya 58 basis poin.

ChainCatcher Pesan, menurut Jinshi, laporan penelitian dari China International Capital Corporation (CICC) menyatakan bahwa kemungkinan besar pemangkasan suku bunga Federal Reserve akan melebihi ekspektasi pasar, dan perdagangan dolar yang longgar mungkin kembali dalam jangka pendek. Laporan tersebut menunjukkan bahwa Federal Reserve sulit untuk "mengurangi neraca" dalam waktu dekat, tetapi "memperbesar neraca" dan ambang batas pelonggaran kuantitatif yang meningkat mungkin dicapai melalui peningkatan besar pemangkasan suku bunga dan penerbitan surat utang jangka pendek Departemen Keuangan, untuk mewujudkan sinergi antara kebijakan moneter dan fiskal. Kurva hasil obligasi AS yang menukik akan menguntungkan saham bank-bank AS.

ChainCatcher Pesan, menurut Jintou, laporan penelitian dari China International Capital Corporation (CICC) menunjukkan bahwa Federal Reserve mempertahankan suku bunga tidak berubah pada pertemuan Januari, sesuai dengan ekspektasi pasar. Anggota dewan Waller memberikan suara menentang, kemungkinan terkait keinginannya untuk diusulkan sebagai Ketua Federal Reserve berikutnya. Powell menyatakan bahwa kebijakan moneter "berada pada posisi yang tepat", menunjukkan bahwa ambang untuk penurunan suku bunga lagi dalam waktu dekat meningkat. CICC memperkirakan bahwa Federal Reserve masih berpeluang menurunkan suku bunga dua kali lagi pada tahun 2026, tetapi penurunan pertama mungkin tertunda hingga kuartal kedua.

CoinShares最新数字资产周报显示, global crypto funds last week recorded approximately $454 million in net outflows, nearly offsetting the $1.5 billion inflow accumulated over two trading days at the beginning of the year. The core background of the change in sentiment lies in the market’s noticeably weakened expectation of a Fed rate cut in March. From a macro perspective, recently released US economic data reinforced the judgment to "maintain interest rates unchanged." According to interest rate pricing tools, the probability of a rate cut in March has fallen to single digits. CoinShares指出, it is this change in expectation that prompted some institutions to quickly adjust risk exposure, triggering continuous fund withdrawals over multiple days.