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# Today's Major Events - March 26
1. **US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (20:30)** - High-frequency labor market indicator
Expected range approximately 207K-215K. Based on actual data:
① **Significantly below expectations (e.g., <205K)**: Strong employment signal → US Treasury yields may rise, US dollar strengthens, lower rate-cut expectations, short-term headwind for risk assets (stocks, crypto).
② **In line with or slightly above expectations (210K-215K)**: Neutral stance, market may have no sharp reaction, continue monitoring Fed pathway.
③ **Significantly above expectations (>220K)**: Slowing employment signal → Rate-cut expectations warm up, US dollar weakens, Treasury yields decline, typically short-term tailwind for risk assets like crypto ("bad news is good news" logic).
2. **Fed Multiple Officials Speeches (Jefferson, Barr, etc.)** - Validate recent policy pathway and inflation response
3. **G7 Foreign Ministers Meeting (26-27)** - Monitor statements on Middle East/Strait of Hormuz/energy supply