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Look at the picture. According to technical analysis, if it is combined with good news, Bitcoin has a probability of going to 770-780, or even 790. I think this is the limit. I don’t think a bull market has started; I think it’s the big players’ smoke-and-mirrors. I can’t even see 80k. It’s very likely that it will stall at 760. The key is whether the big players want to blow up the short positions above during the decline.
U.S. stocks have also set new highs. In just a few days, they rallied back. I think this is the final celebration. They lost the war, won on their mouths, but the sustainability of “winning with talk” is poor. In the end, everyone will come to their senses. As for the oil price, it looks like it has already inverted today, and it has entered the same pattern as before.
What I find most hilarious is that Trump said he would block the strait, and China’s Daqing ship went over to escort it. Whether you fight or not, whether you do it or not—turns out the United States chickened out. They didn’t carry out an interception, and then they spoke up saying they would only take action against Iran. On one side, they’re talking in negotiations while constantly causing friction. Meanwhile, the United States itself is also acting like a pirate, carrying out blockades with absolutely no bottom line. The United States is exactly such a country.
The final outcome of the negotiations will definitely be the United States saying that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons (Iran has never said it wants to build nuclear weapons; it has only said that it peacefully has nuclear energy). After lifting some sanctions and paying a bit of money in compensation, it will end—using the Iran nuclear deal that was agreed upon years ago to draw a full stop to this war. Back then, Trump was the one who pulled out of the agreement himself. It’s really shameless.
Just wait and see—let’s see whether my predictions and foresight are right. A big drop is already moving into its volume.