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Since Wednesday, it feels like the situation has been easing, and today Israel and Lebanon reached a temporary 10-day ceasefire agreement. Although it hasn't fully stopped the conflict yet, the overall trend is moving in a positive direction. You can see from the continuous new highs in the US stock market that market sentiment is actually leaning toward optimism.
On the other hand, oil prices haven't continued to fall; instead, they are slightly rising. This is most likely due to delayed message transmission or the market still debating the subsequent uncertainties. Currently, there haven't been any obvious negative news, but if the situation continues to ease like this, a decline in oil prices is highly probable.
Looking at the recent capital flows, it's quite clear that they favor the US stock market more than the crypto space. So even if the ceasefire is a positive development, its impact on the crypto market is limited and unlikely to trigger a strong "bull comeback." Ultimately, the core factor truly affecting the crypto market remains the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies; other factors are mostly short-term emotional disturbances.
#美股创下历史新高 $BTC $ETH