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#上证指数 #A股 2022.4.14
I personally only have a small position in A recently, almost completely out of the market, and I managed to avoid this wave of 30F-level decline. So far, my return this year is 8%!
These days, the market has been gradually improving. At the 5F level, it’s turning bullish and moving upward, and we’ve moved out of the danger zone! I think many people are also getting antsy and wondering how things will go next? So I’ll boldly predict it here:
🚩Daily chart: A new central structure is forming at the daily level. The central zone may shift upward, but the prerequisite is that there must be an upward move at the 30F level! Until the new central structure is formed, you can only look at the current 3943 central zone!
🚩30F: The 5F upward rhythm is quite good and the momentum is decent! It currently doesn’t constitute a 30F-level move yet. To bring about a 30F-level rally, we still need the 5F to go down and then up—first form a central structure, then look for buying points. The rhythm has to be like this.
💡Tip:
A 30F rally is something most people can participate in, and the money-making effect won’t be bad!
If you missed it, don’t be anxious. After the 5F rally is done, there will definitely be a pullback (4120).
And once that pullback ends, that’s the time to enter the factory!
For those who had positions earlier, I think this week’s push higher should be used to reduce your holdings! Wait for the pullback, then add back! (On the daily chart, yellow represents the 5F clock-like rhythm.)
But I believe the most ideal and fastest structure should be that this 5f upward move finishes, then another wave of decline—breaking the previous low—to form a bottom divergence, and then moving up again! That way, the foundation will be solid, and later we can move steadily upward! It also aligns with policy!
Still, one more time: the trend is what’s happening right now—everything depends on the structure!
Just recording this!