The Strait of Hormuz, as the "lifeline" of global oil trade, with the U.S. military directly intercepting passing ships, signifies a complete escalation of risk levels in the Middle East situation.

The dual impact of inflation and interest rate hike expectations has caused the shipping lane to be obstructed, which will directly push up crude oil prices and intensify global inflation pressures. Market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates or even tighten further are rapidly heating up, dealing a fatal blow to overvalued crypto assets.

Safe-haven funds are accelerating outflows from risk assets. When geopolitical conflicts escalate, funds will prioritize flowing into traditional safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar. The liquidity support for high-volatility risk assets in the crypto space will be quickly withdrawn.

Technical analysis combined with negative news opens up downside space. BTC repeatedly faces resistance above 71k, with trading volume unable to keep up. The bulls are already exhausted. ETH also surged and then fell back, showing a clear weak characteristic of rising with the market but falling behind. This wave of news has directly become the last straw crushing the rebound.

Trading advice: For aggressive traders, short at the current price of 71,860; for conservative traders, short around 72,000, targeting 70,000-69,500. If it breaks below 69,000 or 68,000, position size should be managed according to your own risk.

For aggressive traders, short at the current price of 2,212; for conservative traders, short around 2,230-2,250, targeting 2,100-2,130. If it breaks below 2,000 or 1,900, position size should be managed according to your own risk.
#美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 $BTC $ETH