This week's weekly review (April 13-19), combined with major events + macroeconomics + technical analysis of K-line:

Monday, last weekend's US-Iran Islamabad talks collapsed after 21 hours of marathon negotiations, and Trump directly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz + Iranian ports, instantly heightening geopolitical risks—this is the most explosive macro black swan of the week, directly pushing oil prices to rocket.

Tuesday (April 14): US March PPI + Core PPI. The dollar + US bond yields rise, risk assets are likely to be hammered.

Throughout the week: IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings (April 13-19 in Washington)—a gathering of global central banks + fiscal leaders, possibly releasing statements on geopolitics, inflation, and crypto regulation, serving as a “lurking” catalyst.

Overall data is dense, but geopolitics + Tuesday’s PPI are the main themes.
FOMC: not this week (April 28-29), but the market will price it in advance—if PPI surges, the rate cut expectations by the end of April may continue to cool down.

Summary: Risk appetite is under dual pressure from geopolitics + inflation, oil prices rise → energy inflation → more hawkish Fed → liquidity tightening → crypto and stock markets tend to fall first then oscillate. Short-term risk aversion dominates, medium-term watch who blinks first (Iran or the US).

Technical analysis:
Weekly chart: The weekly level will still mainly fluctuate within a wide range, with the oscillation range around 1830~2375. On the weekly MACD, a golden cross is imminent; after the cross, a rebound around the zero line is expected, but the rebound strength at this level won’t be large. After oscillating near the zero axis, it will likely move downward again, leaving a downward leg.
On smaller timeframes, watch whether 2166 can hold as support, as it has been supported multiple times at this level. So, pay attention to whether it breaks below this point; if broken, it will move around 2080. If it doesn’t break 2066, it will move upward again to touch 2375.
In summary, the main trend remains oscillation; for long positions, focus on 2166 and 2080. For short positions, the range is around 2260 to 2360.

Overall: This week is a “geopolitics + inflation” double-kill test week, dominated by macro negatives, with the K-line technicals at a critical lower boundary of the box. In the short term, cautious oscillation and weakness prevail, but as long as the 60k bottom isn’t broken, it’s still a “dip for buying” rhythm. Crypto never lacks volatility; hold your positions steady, stay updated with news—who blinks first in the next round, the market will reward that one!