Just been looking at Bitcoin's four-year cycle pattern and honestly the charts are looking sketchy right now. We're at 71.5K and down almost 2% today, but some analysts are warning that if the cycle really kicks in, we could see a pretty nasty fall from here. We're talking another 30% drop from current levels, which would be brutal.

The thing about these bear cycles is they tend to follow the halving schedule pretty consistently. Some investment firms are getting more vocal about the downside risk, especially with how extended this rally has been. Nothing's guaranteed obviously, but the pattern suggests we might not be out of the woods yet.

Worth keeping an eye on the support levels. If we break down hard, that 30% fall scenario starts looking more real. Still early to call it, but the bear case is getting harder to ignore right now.