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April 12th, Next Week Market Analysis
Currently, the daily chart remains in a large-scale sideways consolidation; future bullish rebound cannot break the middle band.
Closing at 4608, support at the lower band, can go long.
If the rebound does not break the 15-minute 30-line, consider shorting.
For 8-hour retracement and rebound, the 8-day line supports strongly.
Breakthrough of the previous high at 2330, next watch whether the 8-hour 5 and 10 moving averages cross above the 256 moving average.
If yes, monitor the 12-hour 256 MA.
Key levels: 2100/2130, 2060/2300—breakout on either side, act accordingly.
👿 Future Bullish Outlook:
a. Rebound does not break 2130/2100, 2080/2050
b. Below 1-hour timeframe, must turn into a bullish trend and stabilize above the 30-line to form a bullish arrangement: 2260, 2280.
If broken, continue holding; if not, consider shorting.
Watch whether the 15 and 30 lines cross below the 256 MA at 2100.
c. Currently, 2-3 hour consolidation; act on whichever side breaks.
d. For a big rally, daily and 2-day charts must open upward: 2330/2350.
e. Watch whether the 8-hour chart turns down or up; crossing above 256 forms an 8-hour bull.
If crossing above 256, a new bullish cycle begins at 2260.
If turning down, watch for bullish momentum at 2100/2080, at least 200-300 points, possibly 500 points.
🩸 Resistance levels above: 2230, 2250, 2280/2300, 2350/2380, 2400, 2430/2460, 2480/2500, 2550, 2580
🩸 Breakout signals:
Breakout 1: 2230, watch for 2250/2260
Breakout 2: 2280, watch for 2300, 2330/2350, 2380
Breakout 3: 2400, watch for 2430, 8-hour 256 MA
Breakout 4: 2500, watch for 2550, 2580, 2600
👿👿👿 Future Bearish Outlook:
a. Rebound does not break 15-minute 30-line or the middle band at 2260.
b. As long as the larger timeframe cannot hold above the 30-line and the upper band does not open upward, consider shorting.
c. Observe whether the 2, 3, 4, 6-hour 5 and 10 MAs cross below the 256 MA; if yes, short; if turning upward, consider long.
d. Watch whether the last MA on the 8-hour chart turns down or up; observe the future trend and turning points of the 8-hour 5 and 10 MAs.
🩸 Key levels: 2200, 2170/2150, 2130, 2100, 2080, 2050, 2000, 1950/1930, 1900, 1850, 1830, 1800, 1780/1750, 1680, 1630, 1550, 1510, 1480, 1450, 1380
🩸 Break support signals:
Break 1: 2200, look for 2170/2150, 2130, 2100
Break 2: 2080, look for 2050, 2000, 8-hour lower band
Break 3: 2000, consider 1950/1930, 1900, 2-day lower band
Break 4: 1860, consider 1850/1830, 1800, 3-day lower band
Break 5: 1800, consider 1750/1730, 1700
Break 6: 1700, consider 1660/1630, 1600
Break 7: 1600, consider 1550/1530, 1500, 1480, 5-day lower band
For break and breakout signals, it’s recommended to trade with light positions; heavy positions must include stop-loss.
Breaks and breakouts sometimes do not occur immediately; they require time.
Ethereum stop-loss is just 10 points; Bitcoin 350 points.
Open your first position freely; focus on adding on dips.
Use stop-loss for heavy positions; light positions are flexible.
Control your position size; if one break occurs, watch for the second.
Avoid rushing into trades if you miss key levels.
Don’t panic during position adjustments; trade calmly, wait for setups.
Find Dodo for position management and analysis; don’t mess around yourself.
👿👿👿 Take profit at 30%-50%, then reduce positions to preserve capital.