The ceasefire announced between the United States and Iran in the last 24 hours has led to sharp and rapid price fluctuations in global markets. Here are the most recent developments and their market impacts in chronological order:

📌 Significant transactions occurred in the oil market in the hours before the ceasefire, with approximately $950 million in short positions opened.

📌 The announcement of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz following the ceasefire rapidly eased concerns about global energy supply.

📌 Immediately after the announcement, oil prices experienced a sharp decline, with Brent crude falling by approximately 15% to the $90-95 range.

📌 A strong "risk-on" rally began in global stock markets, with gains of between 3% and 7% in Asian and European indices.

📌 US futures indices rose sharply, with Dow Jones futures increasing by approximately 1200 points, and the Nasdaq and S&P 500 recovering strongly.

📌 In the bond market, demand for safe haven assets decreased, yields retreated, and the dollar index weakened.

📌 The ceasefire being a temporary two-week agreement created cautious optimism in the markets. The expectation of a permanent solution has begun to be priced in.

📌 A rapid recovery was seen in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin rising to the $72,000 level.

📌 Ethereum and altcoins recorded increases of between 5% and 7%, expanding the total cryptocurrency market capitalization.

📌 Approximately $600 million worth of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with a sharp squeeze, especially in Bitcoin and oil.

📌 The cryptocurrency market saw buying again in the "risky asset" category as geopolitical risks decreased.

📌 The decline in energy prices lowered global inflation expectations, bringing expectations of a Fed interest rate cut back to the forefront.

📌 Aviation, tourism, and technology stocks rose, while energy companies diverged negatively.

📌 Analysts consider the current rise not a "permanent trend," but a "news-driven relief rally."

📌 The main risk factor in the markets is the possibility that the ceasefire is temporary and that tensions may resurface.

🧐 The overall picture shows short-term relief and increased risk appetite in global markets. While indicating an increase, it shows that pricing continues to be largely dependent on geopolitical developments.

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