Caught BMNR getting hammered again this week. Stock dropped another 25% in five days, now sitting around $22.35. The company's been trying to spin their massive Ethereum holdings losses as some kind of long-term strategy thing, but the market isn't buying it. Literally. Their treasury is sitting on over $6 billion in unrealized losses from ETH - they paid around $3,800 per coin on average, and even with recent price recovery, they're still deeply underwater. The thing that got me was how Chairman Tom Lee went on Twitter defending this as a feature, not a bug. Said the crypto cycles naturally have drawdowns and BitMine is designed to accumulate through downturns. Fair point on paper, but the actual trading data tells a different story. I pulled up the on-balance volume and Chaikin money flow charts, and you can literally see when retail started distributing their shares in late January. Then institutional money followed right after. By early February, both indicators were in the red, confirming big money was exiting hard. The technical setup was already ugly - head and shoulders pattern forming through December and January - so when price broke the neckline, it just accelerated the selling. OBV and CMF showed the accumulating vs distributing dynamics clearly flipped from accumulation to distribution mode. The defense didn't matter because the flow data was already pointing to the exits. Now support's at $19.26 if we don't hold $22.52. Below that, next level is $16.71. The projected downside from the pattern is over 30% from where it broke, so plenty of room lower. Recovery would need price to reclaim $22.52 and push through $25.07, but neither buyers nor capital flows are showing up for that yet. Still looks like sellers have control.

ETH-0,1%
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