After the release of the U.S. initial unemployment claims data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.6%.

Mars Finance News: On April 2, for the week ending March 28, the number of people filing initial jobless claims in the United States was 202,000, the lowest level since the week of January 10, 2026. It came in below expectations of 212,000; the previous value was revised from 210,000 to 211,000. According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch” data, after the U.S. initial jobless claims data were released today, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April is currently 2.6%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 97.4%.