Odaily Planet Daily reports that, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a newly created address named trumpery (0x622...b2f7) has invested $80,000 in Polymarket to bet on "Trump will acquire Greenland before 2027."

January 22 News, Fundstrat founder and research head Tom Lee warned in his latest podcast that the financial markets in 2026 may experience a "painful downturn" at the start, followed by a potential rebound. He pointed out that escalating tariff policies, changes in Federal Reserve independence, and uncertainty surrounding the new Fed chair will cause significant disruptions in the early stages of the year. Tom Lee straightforwardly stated that the market usually conducts a "stress test" on the new Fed leadership, which often involves a phased correction, but from a medium to long-term perspective, low levels could instead create new buying opportunities. Looking back at 2025, the US tax season and the implementation of tariffs once caused Bitcoin to dip from $84,000 to $74,000, a decline of about 11%. Subsequently, after China and other countries reached key trade agreements, market confidence was restored, and Bitcoin rebounded to around $126,000 in October of that year. Recently, US President Trump mentioned that an agreement with Greenland is close to being reached, which also led to the cancellation of some tariff plans, temporarily easing macroeconomic pressure. This is seen as a potentially important factor supporting a Bitcoin rebound.

On January 22, news broke that Trump suddenly withdrew his tariff plans against the EU and signaled a thaw regarding the Greenland issue, causing significant losses for a group of traders on Polymarket. Previously, bets on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027" quickly reversed, with the probability of "Yes" dropping to about 11%, and a large amount of funds experiencing a noticeable withdrawal. This trend once again confirms the so-called "TACO trading" logic. The concept was introduced by Robert Armstrong in 2025 to describe Trump's usual strategy: first issuing extreme threats to trigger market panic, then retracting or softening the stance, thereby triggering a rebound in asset prices. The "D-Day" tariff shock in April 2025 is a typical example, and the operations around European tariffs and the Greenland issue in January 2026 repeated this pattern.

On January 22, news reports indicate that both the US spot Bitcoin ETF and Ethereum ETF experienced a rare large-scale outflow of funds this Wednesday, showing that institutional investors are significantly tightening risk exposure amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty. Data shows that the net daily outflow from the spot Bitcoin ETF was approximately $709 million, the largest outflow in nearly two months, while the Ethereum ETF saw about $287 million in withdrawals, totaling nearly $1 billion combined. As funds exited, Bitcoin's price briefly dropped to around $87,000, and Ethereum also experienced a short dip before rebounding. Subsequently, with Trump announcing an agreement with NATO on the Greenland issue and temporarily suspending tariffs on EU countries, market sentiment significantly improved. Cryptocurrencies experienced a technical rebound, with Bitcoin regaining the $90,000 level and Ethereum climbing back above $3,000.

Uniswap founder Hayden Adams pointed out that the pricing differences between prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket for "the US acquiring Greenland" are significant, at 42% and 15%-23% respectively. This stems from the different underlying bets, as they evaluate different events, and there are differences in settlement conditions, oracle design, and other factors.

January 22 News: Bitcoin experienced intense volatility during the Asian trading session, briefly falling below $88,000 but then quickly rebounding to around $90,000. Previously, U.S. President Donald Trump announced at the Davos World Economic Forum that he was withdrawing the threat of tariffs on Greenland, which significantly eased market tensions. Affected by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, risk aversion sentiment spread globally earlier this week, putting pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin briefly dropped to $87,300 on Wednesday, while Ethereum temporarily fell below $3,000 amid a sell-off. Major tokens such as Solana, Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Dogecoin (Dogecoin) also retreated, indicating that investors are highly sensitive to risk assets in the short term.

Trump stated in his Davos speech that he will not use force and only requests Greenland, aiming to soothe the US stock market. He reaffirmed his support for cryptocurrencies, saying he will ensure that the US maintains its position as the global cryptocurrency capital, and revealed that a new Federal Reserve Chair will be announced soon, expressing concern over their "betrayal."

January 21 News, analysis suggests that the decline in the US stock market is not significantly related to the Greenland event, mainly due to rotation within the technology sector. The global bond market volatility is more pronounced, triggered by Deutsche Bank's bearish report on the US dollar and US Treasuries, raising concerns. Trump and the US and Japan finance ministers have taken measures to stabilize the market, so the short-term decline of ETH cannot be sufficiently attributed to the Greenland event.

On January 21, news reports indicate that as Donald Trump is about to arrive in Davos to participate in major global economic and political events, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has once again launched a strong attack on European countries, drawing high attention from the international financial and geopolitical circles. Bessent accused some European leaders of making "incendiary remarks" regarding Greenland and stated that this attitude carries a clear "resentful sentiment," which is not conducive to the stability of U.S.-Europe relations. Meanwhile, the global financial markets are in a highly sensitive phase. Recently, U.S. stocks have retreated, and safe-haven assets like gold have hit record highs, sparking concerns among some investors about capital withdrawal from the U.S.. In response, Scott Bessent explicitly stated that such concerns are seriously exaggerated, the attractiveness of the U.S. market remains solid, and institutional funds will not shift massively to Europe or other regions due to short-term fluctuations.