Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr said the current Bitcoin pullback is smaller than historic bearish-market levels, but a bottom has not yet been confirmed. He believes the market is still in a mild bear phase, and that a true recovery will require patience and waiting.

Gate News message, on April 11, according to on-chain analysts Yu Jin’s monitoring, within the past half hour, the whale or institution controlling NOM with 59% of the circulating supply has continued transferring 768 million NOM tokens, worth $3.73 million, to a certain CEX. From last night to today, this entity has cumulatively transferred 1.44B NOM tokens to a certain CEX, worth $7.67 million. In the past 24 hours, the NOM price has fallen 39%.

Gate News message, April 8, Leavitt Mining Pool BTC.TOP founder and CEO Jiang Zhuoer posted that he went short ETH at $2242; this is a mid-to-short-term operation, just like the last time he went long at $1850 and closed it out at $2144. Jiang Zhuoer said that the bear market cycle hasn’t finished yet, and event-driven bounces are opportunities to go short as well; there’s also a small chance that he will start another round again.

April 7, under the influence of the bear market, 21 crypto projects announced they would shut down or scale back services, covering areas such as wallets, DeFi, NFTs, and games. Projects like Leap Wallet and Magic Eden exited or adjusted due to market pressure; industry insiders believe this shakeout will help reshape the market, and that focusing on sustainable Web3 projects in the future will be more competitive.

According to Glassnode data, in the first quarter of 2023, the average daily losses for “sharks” holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC and “giant whales” holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC were 188.5 million and $147.5 million, respectively, totaling approximately $337 million. Meanwhile, the year-to-date cumulative losses have already reached $30.9 billion, approaching the level of the 2022 bear market. Long-term holders’ average daily losses are still around $200 million, with the market affected by macro risks and weakening confidence.

A Bank of Canada research report states that Aave V3 on Ethereum is expected to achieve zero non-performing loans in 2024, with a total loan volume of about $6 billion. The report analyzes the effectiveness of over-collateralization and automatic liquidation mechanisms in protecting lenders, finding that leveraged loop transactions are mainly driven by large investors, liquidation activity is concentrated in a small number of assets, and it has little impact on market prices.

Bitcoin's bear market has lasted for nearly six months. The market may be entering a "time pain" phase, with long-term holders making up about 80% of the supply. Glassnode believes the bear market is nearing the bottom, but it still needs several months of sideways consolidation.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by more than 88,000 coins in the first quarter of 2026, bringing total holdings to nearly 739,000 coins and cementing its position as the world’s largest corporate holder. The move was completed through $42 billion in financing, reflecting Saylor’s confidence in long-term value, even though overall market sentiment remains relatively bearish. The accumulation strategy shows the contrarian thinking of institutional investors in a bear market, but it also introduces risks of price volatility and leverage financing.

Bitcoin faces a critical turning point in April 2026. In March, the price rose only slightly by 0.19%, and market momentum has weakened. Technically, it shows a “bear flag” pattern; during tests of the key trendline, it may initiate a new round of downside. Flows are split—ETF net inflows are weakening, and large whales continue to exert selling pressure. The key support level is $67,000; once that breaks, it will test lower levels. If it breaks above $75,900, it could reverse. Overall, Bitcoin still faces near-term pressure, and its April performance will influence subsequent market direction.

Gate News bot message, A crypto community member is seeking guidance from experienced traders who survived the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. The individual posted a question asking OGs (original/veteran traders) to share their single best piece of advice for newcomers currently experiencing their firs