Trump announced a postponement of military strikes against Iran, triggering a sharp decline in oil prices. Despite claims of effective dialogue with Iran, Iran's parliament speaker denied direct negotiations. Trump's threats toward Iran since 2018 show a pattern of repetition, with only partial follow-through. Looking ahead, three scenarios may emerge after the 5-day period expires, with markets holding different expectations for future oil price movements. In this game, both Trump and Iran face internal pressure, and the choice between negotiations and military action will influence the development of the situation.

ChainCatcher News: According to Golden Ten, US President Trump stated in an exclusive interview with the New York Times that he has decided whom to nominate as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, but did not disclose the specific choice. He mentioned "I have made a decision in my heart" and said he has not spoken with anyone yet. Trump said his chief economic advisor Hassett is "absolutely one of the people I like." Prediction market Kalshi shows that Kevin Walsh has a 41% probability of being elected Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Hassett has 39%, and Christopher Waller has 12%.