In-Depth Analysis of Trump’s Stance at the Crypto Conference: Why Is the CLARITY Act Stalled in the Senate?

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更新済み: 2026-04-27 12:40

April 25, 2026: At a private crypto industry event held at Mar-a-Lago in Florida, President Trump sent his strongest political signal yet to hundreds of major TRUMP token holders and crypto industry leaders: the White House will not allow banking lobby groups to derail the progress of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Dubbed the "world’s most exclusive meeting," the event brought together heavyweight guests including Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood, Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley, and boxing legend Mike Tyson. In his speech, Trump declared, "The United States is a leader in the crypto space," and emphasized that banks should not stand in the way of establishing frameworks for stablecoins and crypto regulation.

What signals did Trump’s crypto stance send?

The timing of Trump’s remarks is highly significant. The Senate Banking Committee had originally planned to review and vote on the CLARITY Act at the end of April, but intensive lobbying by banking trade organizations pushed the timeline into May. Committee Chairman Tim Scott made it clear on April 14 that the review could not be completed in April, citing three unresolved core issues: stablecoin yield provisions, DeFi-related clauses, and ensuring unanimous support from Republican senators on the committee. Trump’s public statement at Mar-a-Lago was a direct message to the banking sector, elevating crypto legislation from an industry debate to a presidential priority. Notably, while Trump reiterated his support for the CLARITY Act during the event, he deliberately avoided mentioning his own TRUMP token, which dropped 14% on the day of the event and has fallen nearly 47% year-to-date. This underscores a clear distinction between legislative agendas and speculative assets.

Why has the stablecoin yield debate become the biggest obstacle for the bill?

The central controversy of the CLARITY Act revolves around whether stablecoin issuers can pay yields to holders. In March 2026, after more than two months of negotiations, Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democrat Angela Alsobrooks reached a principled compromise: passive yield—earning interest simply by holding stablecoins—would be prohibited, but rewards based on payment, transfer, and other on-chain activities would be allowed. The crypto industry broadly accepted this proposal.

However, the banking sector’s stance hardened sharply in April. The North Carolina Bankers Association distributed scripts to member banks, urging them to personally call senators’ offices to demand a comprehensive ban on any stablecoin yields "economically or functionally equivalent to interest." Banks argue that interest-bearing stablecoins could trigger massive outflows from traditional bank deposits—industry estimates suggest stablecoin adoption could lead to up to $6.6 trillion in lost deposits from the banking system. While this figure is likely exaggerated for lobbying purposes, it reveals the structural anxiety banks face: the long-term risk that digital assets could replace traditional deposit business.

The White House Council of Economic Advisers responded directly with a 21-page report on April 8, concluding that banning stablecoin yields would only increase total bank lending by about $2.1 billion (0.02% of the total), while costing consumers a net loss of about $800 million. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also publicly warned that regulatory delays could push digital asset innovation to Singapore and Dubai. The White House report laid the policy groundwork for Trump’s subsequent public stance.

Why has the Senate struggled to advance the CLARITY Act?

The CLARITY Act passed the House in July 2025 with a 294-134 vote: all 216 voting Republican members supported it, along with 78 Democrats crossing party lines. Yet the bill faces multiple hurdles in the Senate.

Procedurally, the bill must clear at least five steps in the Senate: Banking Committee markup hearings, a full Senate vote (requiring 60 votes to overcome filibuster), integration with the Senate Agriculture Committee version, final reconciliation with the House-passed version, and presidential signing. As of late April 2026, the first step—the Banking Committee markup—had not yet been scheduled.

Beyond the stablecoin yield debate, the bill faces several structural challenges. The Washington research team at TD Cowen highlighted in an April 22, 2026 report that the CLARITY Act must overcome five major obstacles: severe staffing shortages at the CFTC, the risk of forced inclusion of prediction market regulation into party bills, political controversy surrounding the Trump family’s crypto project World Liberty Financial, anti-money laundering pressure from Iranian crypto transit fees, and the risk of the credit card competition bill being tied to the legislation. Currently, the CFTC has only one commissioner performing all decision-making functions, with the other four seats vacant, directly impacting Congress’s confidence in assigning the agency new digital asset regulatory responsibilities.

Why is banking industry lobbying intensifying now?

The escalation in banking industry lobbying is driven by multiple factors. North Carolina Senator Tillis is leading critical negotiations, and the North Carolina Bankers Association has confirmed it is urging member banks to directly call his office to demand changes to the stablecoin yield compromise reached with the crypto sector. Banks are pushing Congress to legally ensure stablecoins remain less attractive than traditional bank accounts—a strategy likened by observers to the "Margarine Coloring Act" used by the dairy industry in the late 19th century to resist artificial butter.

The American Bankers Association’s public criticism of the White House CEA report shows that the banking sector’s lobbying is not merely defensive. When the White House report tried to counter banks’ core arguments with data, the industry shifted focus to claim the report’s analysis was flawed, emphasizing the greater disruptive risks of rapid stablecoin scaling. According to industry estimates, large US banks earn over $360 billion annually from payments and deposits, and stablecoin payment and yield mechanisms pose a direct threat to this profit pool.

How is the crypto industry fighting back with political contributions?

The crypto industry is deploying unprecedented political resources to counter banking lobby efforts. According to Federal Election Commission filings and public statements, crypto-focused super PACs are raising about $263 million—nearly double the largest SPAC Fairshake’s 2024 spending, and even slightly more than the entire oil and gas industry’s total outlay in the previous election cycle. Fairshake itself holds $141 million, with backers including Coinbase, Ripple, and venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz.

In April 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald donated $10 million to Fellowship PAC, and Anchorage Digital contributed $1 million—reflecting internal divisions within traditional finance over crypto legislation. Fellowship PAC, managed by Tether’s US government affairs director Jesse Spiro, has secured over $100 million in commitments and is actively investing in midterm election advertising in key districts like Texas and Ohio. The Solana-backed Sentinel Action Fund also announced an $8 million investment to support pro-crypto Republican candidates in Ohio’s Senate race. The crypto industry’s political moves aim not only to advance the CLARITY Act but also to solidify pro-crypto lawmakers’ seats in Congress ahead of the November midterms, laying the groundwork for future legislative cycles.

How do the midterm elections narrow the window for crypto legislation?

Senator Cynthia Lummis has issued a clear warning: if the current legislative window is missed, "digital asset legislation will not pass for the foreseeable future." Ohio Senator Bernie Moreno was even more direct: "If we don’t pass the CLARITY Act by May, digital asset legislation will be difficult to advance for the foreseeable future."

May 25, Memorial Day, is widely seen as the "final deadline" for legislation. After this point, lawmakers leave Washington for campaign activities and have little time for crypto bills. The November 2026 midterms will see all 435 House seats and 33 Senate seats up for election, with Democrats poised to potentially regain control of Congress. If Republicans lose their majority, the current pro-crypto legislative environment could reverse fundamentally. More importantly, if Democrats gain seats, the chances of passing crypto legislation will drop further, as the party remains divided on amending federal rules for digital assets. To pass the bill, at least seven Democratic senators must support it, but some Democrats want to add provisions banning elected officials from profiting from crypto companies—a clause clearly targeting the Trump family’s World Liberty Financial. If crypto skeptic Senator Elizabeth Warren becomes Banking Committee chair after a Democratic Senate win, crypto legislation could face a long-term shadow. Polymarket prediction markets show the probability of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 has dropped from a previous high of 70% to a range of 38% to 50%.

Can Trump’s speech materially advance the legislative process?

While Trump’s Mar-a-Lago speech sent a strong political signal, its direct impact on legislation is limited. His public stance can influence Republican politics and apply public pressure on banks, but cannot bypass procedural hurdles in the Senate. Issues like CFTC staffing shortages require White House nominations, and the final compromise on stablecoin yields must be negotiated within the Senate Banking Committee. Over 100 crypto companies have issued a joint letter urging the committee to schedule markup hearings soon, and Trump’s remarks clearly echo industry demands, offering political backing to Republican senators.

It’s worth noting that progress on the stablecoin yield debate is also shifting industry positions. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, who previously helped block the bill over yield provisions, changed his stance to support it on April 9. This shift indicates that, even with compromise clauses, industry leaders now recognize that "passing the bill" is more urgent than achieving a "perfect bill" during this political window.

How does the crypto market view this legislative battle?

As of April 27, 2026, Gate market data shows Bitcoin trading sideways in recent sessions. Bitcoin has consolidated around $78,000, after dipping below $60,000 earlier in the year—a 16-month low. Bitcoin’s price volatility is somewhat linked to the progress of the CLARITY Act, but it’s important to note that price trends are shaped by a combination of interest rate expectations, geopolitical factors, and macro liquidity. The market is increasingly pricing in whether the legislative window before May will open; if the bill fails to make key progress by then, price declines may be attributed more to regulatory uncertainty than to macro factors alone.

Summary

Trump’s statement at the Mar-a-Lago crypto summit elevated White House support for the CLARITY Act to new heights, but the simultaneous intensification of banking industry lobbying highlights the uncertainty of this legislative battle. The stablecoin yield debate, Senate procedural hurdles, CFTC staffing shortages, and the countdown to midterm elections all present systemic obstacles to advancing the bill. May 25 is widely seen as the last window for legislation. Regardless of whether the bill passes before the midterms, the debate over US crypto regulation has placed stablecoins’ role in the financial system and the deep transformation of banking and traditional deposit models at the center of legislative discourse—this debate itself is reshaping the long-term landscape of US digital asset policy.

FAQ

Q1: What exactly did Trump say at the Mar-a-Lago crypto summit?

Trump made it clear the White House will not allow banking lobby groups to derail the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), stating the crypto industry has entered the mainstream. "The United States is a leader in the crypto space," he said, and banks should not obstruct the establishment of stablecoin and crypto regulatory frameworks.

Q2: What are the main obstacles facing the CLARITY Act right now?

The primary obstacle is the stablecoin yield debate—banks want to ban all forms of stablecoin yield, while the crypto industry and White House believe rewards based on payment scenarios should be allowed. Other challenges include Senate procedural hurdles, severe CFTC staffing shortages, and time pressure from the midterm elections.

Q3: What are the chances the CLARITY Act passes in 2026?

According to Polymarket prediction markets as of April 27, the probability of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 has dropped from 70% to between 38% and 50%. TD Cowen estimates about one-third, while Galaxy Digital offers a more optimistic estimate of about 50%.

Q4: Why is May 25 considered the last window for legislation?

May 25 is Memorial Day in the United States. According to Congressional legislative tradition, lawmakers shift into election mode after this date, focusing on midterm campaigns, making major legislation difficult to advance politically. If the bill doesn’t enter key procedural stages by May, it could be delayed until the next Congress in 2027.

Q5: Why is the stablecoin yield debate so critical?

Stablecoin yields directly impact the flow of funds between traditional bank deposits and digital assets. Banks believe interest-bearing stablecoins will cause massive deposit outflows (industry estimates up to $6.6 trillion), while the White House report argues the risks are overstated. If the CLARITY Act allows stablecoin yields, stablecoins could shift from payment tools to quasi-savings products, fundamentally changing the competitive landscape of the US financial system.

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